Check out this enclosed chart showing your percentage probability you'll/we'll contract the virus given the known cases already found in a county. Very eye-opening. From today's NYT.
Known cases in a county
|
Probability of
community transmission
|
---|---|
0
|
9%
|
1
|
51%
|
2
|
70%
|
3
|
79%
|
4
|
84%
|
5
|
85%
|
10
|
95%
|
20
|
99%
|
43 or more
|
100%
|
By The New York Times·Source: Emily Javan, Spencer Fox and Lauren Ancel Meyers, the University of Texas at Austin
To better see the chart and for the article from which it comes:
To put the above chart in perspective, Wyandotte County presently reports 137 cases. Johnson County, 183 cases, according to the Kansas City Star. More from the Star:
Apply those totals from our local counties to this chart above and see what conclusions you come to.
So yes, let's take this stay at home idea and order seriously. It doesn't last forever. Stay positive. It's Spring.
Sources:
Be careful out there, y'all. Be safe. Get a mask if you haven't got one already?
And stay home.
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